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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+4.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+3.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+4.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.37+5.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25+1.28vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65-1.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.75-3.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-3.52vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.81-5.67vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-1.21vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.13-8.64vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.26-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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5.41Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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10.29Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.17Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.92North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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12.79Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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13.78University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Max Sigel | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 24.2% |
| Ethan Simpson | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 20.7% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.