Race 16A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Vincent 12.1% 10.3% 9.3% 12.8% 11.1% 9.8% 8.9% 10.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.0% 0.6%
Morgan Russom 5.4% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.9% 10.8% 12.3% 10.3% 3.8%
Chandler Salisbury 10.4% 8.2% 10.2% 8.8% 10.0% 10.0% 9.3% 10.3% 9.5% 7.9% 4.3% 1.1%
Haley Powell 6.4% 7.0% 7.2% 9.1% 8.4% 9.9% 10.2% 8.6% 9.8% 11.2% 9.2% 3.0%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.9% 11.3% 13.3% 9.9% 10.0% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% 7.0% 4.7% 5.3% 0.5%
Lauren Cefali 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 6.4% 4.7% 8.2% 9.9% 11.7% 13.1% 17.0% 8.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.7% 15.0% 12.4% 10.3% 9.7% 9.9% 8.3% 6.5% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Claire Dennis 14.5% 12.1% 10.7% 11.1% 10.2% 9.6% 9.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.9% 3.1% 1.2%
Erica Lush 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 11.1% 13.2% 20.8% 12.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.0% 6.5% 7.7% 8.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 9.8% 12.3% 8.9% 3.4%
Natalie Salk 11.7% 12.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 9.5% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.0%
Ann Sager 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.9% 6.5% 12.8% 63.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.