Race 2B

central-unh

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jean-Luc Depardieu 13.4% 11.9% 13.0% 13.1% 11.9% 10.9% 9.2% 7.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Ava Hurwitz 24.8% 22.9% 16.8% 12.6% 9.7% 6.3% 3.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
James Sullivan 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 9.6% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 10.4% 11.2% 7.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Michael Hanrahan 14.9% 14.1% 14.4% 13.6% 11.2% 10.0% 9.3% 5.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Cunniff 5.1% 5.4% 7.5% 8.8% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 12.2% 10.2% 10.5% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8%
William DeLong 6.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.4% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 11.5% 9.9% 5.1% 3.4% 1.1%
Zachary Amelotte 13.9% 15.8% 13.8% 13.6% 13.2% 9.7% 8.6% 6.0% 3.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Brett Tardie 3.8% 3.2% 4.5% 4.0% 5.9% 7.8% 8.3% 12.0% 10.2% 11.4% 13.9% 9.0% 5.7%
Sonja Krajewski 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.3% 11.6% 11.2% 11.7% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6%
Devon Valenta 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 4.4% 5.7% 7.8% 12.0% 21.9% 35.1%
Clare Rados 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 6.1% 5.8% 7.0% 10.1% 13.0% 14.6% 17.2% 13.0%
Charles Maier 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.5% 5.2% 6.8% 7.6% 10.4% 12.7% 16.0% 14.5% 9.5%
Morgan Melo 1.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.4% 8.8% 13.4% 19.6% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.