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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+5.52vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.70+1.17vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.82+3.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.03+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.18-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74+0.60vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.28+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09-0.48vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.18-4.66vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.76-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.40-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.31-1.56vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.63-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52University of New Hampshire-0.006.2%1st Place
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3.17Dartmouth College0.7025.7%1st Place
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6.86Fairfield University-0.825.0%1st Place
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4.57Brown University0.0313.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Vermont0.1814.6%1st Place
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6.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.746.4%1st Place
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8.14Bentley University-1.284.0%1st Place
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7.52University of New Hampshire-1.093.9%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College0.1813.6%1st Place
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9.12Middlebury College-1.762.2%1st Place
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10.61University of New Hampshire-2.401.3%1st Place
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10.44University of New Hampshire-2.311.4%1st Place
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8.89Williams College-1.632.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 25.7% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William DeLong | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Brett Tardie | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clare Rados | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% |
| Devon Valenta | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 34.6% |
| Morgan Melo | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 30.6% |
| Charles Maier | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.