Race 17A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Russom 6.2% 5.5% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 9.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.7% 13.4% 10.0% 4.5%
Haley Powell 6.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.9% 10.7% 8.6% 3.0%
Hanna Vincent 12.2% 10.4% 10.3% 11.5% 10.4% 11.1% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 5.0% 2.5% 0.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.6% 6.2% 9.0% 7.1% 9.1% 8.3% 10.8% 8.8% 9.5% 11.9% 9.8% 3.9%
Claire Dennis 12.0% 13.7% 11.5% 10.4% 11.6% 8.0% 9.1% 7.6% 7.0% 5.2% 3.2% 0.7%
Chandler Salisbury 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 10.0% 9.9% 6.9% 8.5% 5.1% 1.4%
Erica Lush 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 9.6% 13.1% 22.3% 12.9%
Stephanie Hudson 14.4% 12.1% 11.5% 10.8% 10.0% 9.1% 8.9% 9.2% 6.2% 3.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Lauren Cefali 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.9% 12.4% 12.5% 16.1% 6.1%
Natalie Salk 13.2% 12.3% 12.0% 11.1% 9.2% 11.2% 9.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.3% 11.2% 12.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 9.1% 8.2% 7.7% 4.9% 3.7% 1.0%
Ann Sager 0.6% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 1.6% 1.3% 4.5% 6.3% 13.0% 64.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.