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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+0.62vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.05+4.54vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.93+1.18vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+1.16vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.19-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02+0.25vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.19-1.43vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.29-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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6.54Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.16American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.5Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.38Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 60.4% | 24.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 24.7% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 8.0% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.5% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Seton Dill | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 29.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.