Race 2A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sebastien Nordenson 9.1% 15.8% 18.2% 17.1% 11.9% 11.1% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8%
Barrett Lhamon 57.4% 25.9% 10.0% 4.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 4.6% 9.0% 12.1% 12.3% 14.1% 13.7% 13.6% 12.5% 8.1%
Nathaniel Adams 7.3% 13.3% 14.9% 16.2% 14.9% 11.4% 10.5% 7.3% 4.2%
Benedict Gorman 4.4% 11.2% 12.5% 11.1% 13.2% 13.1% 11.8% 12.8% 9.9%
Malik Deslauriers 7.3% 10.6% 12.4% 16.2% 14.2% 15.2% 11.6% 7.0% 5.5%
Marlon Wool 3.0% 4.1% 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 12.3% 13.5% 21.4% 20.7%
Seton Dill 3.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.5% 10.7% 12.6% 14.4% 17.2% 21.6%
Laura MacMillan 3.6% 4.3% 5.8% 6.7% 9.6% 10.4% 14.7% 16.7% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.