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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+0.60vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+3.31vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-2.05+3.17vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29+0.58vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.93-1.04vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-1.54vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.78-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.44-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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5.31American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.17Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.58Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.96Princeton University-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.46Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.22Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-1.780.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 61.0% | 25.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 3.2% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 5.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 25.7% | 11.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 6.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 10.1% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 6.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 3.8% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
| Elise Singletary | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.