Race 4A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Barrett Lhamon 62.3% 24.1% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebastien Nordenson 6.4% 16.9% 18.4% 17.5% 12.4% 11.9% 10.6% 4.5% 1.4%
Benedict Gorman 4.1% 9.5% 11.2% 12.4% 13.3% 14.6% 15.2% 14.5% 5.2%
Hannah Arey 5.2% 10.2% 13.7% 13.2% 14.3% 15.8% 11.5% 12.2% 3.9%
Marlon Wool 3.0% 6.3% 9.4% 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 14.2% 23.1% 11.3%
Malik Deslauriers 6.5% 11.6% 13.2% 12.9% 18.8% 13.6% 12.5% 8.6% 2.3%
Nathaniel Adams 7.5% 12.6% 14.4% 17.1% 15.4% 13.6% 11.3% 6.7% 1.4%
Elise Singletary 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 3.6% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 12.9% 67.5%
Anna Servidio 4.0% 7.3% 9.8% 9.5% 12.6% 13.7% 18.6% 17.5% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.