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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.93+2.44vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.05+3.97vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+1.61vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.19-0.11vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.56-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-0.37vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.29-2.80vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-2.74vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.96-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Princeton University-0.930.2%1st Place
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5.97Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.61American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.89Drexel University-1.190.2%1st Place
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4.63Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.26Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 21.4% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Seton Dill | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| Brian Polak | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.