Race 4B

central-unh

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Maier 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.8% 9.8% 11.5% 14.8% 14.1% 10.9%
Jean-Luc Depardieu 12.7% 12.8% 14.2% 12.5% 11.8% 11.3% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 15.2% 15.4% 15.2% 14.0% 12.8% 9.3% 7.9% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 4.8% 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 9.7% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 11.1% 10.9% 6.4% 4.9% 1.6%
Michael Hanrahan 15.4% 14.1% 13.0% 13.0% 12.0% 11.1% 8.7% 5.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
William DeLong 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 9.4% 11.2% 9.9% 11.4% 9.3% 6.0% 3.6% 1.2%
Ava Hurwitz 25.2% 22.4% 15.8% 13.7% 9.7% 6.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Sullivan 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 10.8% 11.9% 12.0% 11.2% 7.5% 5.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Sonja Krajewski 4.3% 4.5% 6.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 9.0% 11.3% 11.0% 12.3% 9.4% 7.2% 2.9%
Brett Tardie 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 7.5% 8.1% 10.4% 11.9% 12.8% 13.3% 9.9% 5.7%
Clare Rados 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 5.6% 8.1% 9.5% 13.2% 14.4% 15.8% 12.5%
Devon Valenta 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 4.9% 7.5% 13.2% 20.2% 35.0%
Morgan Melo 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.7% 7.4% 8.5% 14.4% 19.9% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.