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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+3.76vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+3.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-2.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-2.89vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-4.15vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-3.20vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-5.92vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Erica Lush | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 8.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ann Sager | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.