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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.93+2.47vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.19+2.13vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-2.05+2.82vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.56+0.65vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-0.36vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.29-2.80vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.96-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Princeton University-0.930.2%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.82Rutgers University-2.050.1%1st Place
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4.65Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
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4.47American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.27Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 22.2% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 12.9% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Seton Dill | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Mascia | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Brian Polak | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.