← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.93+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-1.56+3.17vs Predicted
-
3Rutgers University-2.05+3.05vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.19+0.03vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-1.29-0.77vs Predicted
-
6American University-1.49-1.29vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.19-0.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-1.78-2.65vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-1.82-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62Princeton University-0.930.2%1st Place
-
5.17Catholic University of America-1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.05Rutgers University-2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.03Drexel University-1.190.2%1st Place
-
4.23Virginia Tech-1.290.2%1st Place
-
4.71American University-1.490.1%1st Place
-
6.33University of Delaware-2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
-
5.5Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 20.4% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 21.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Laura MacMillan | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 25.4% |
| Anna Servidio | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.