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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+0.52vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-1.56+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.02+2.92vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29+0.37vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.28vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-1.77vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.64-1.84vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.05-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.44-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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5.21Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.23Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.16Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.86Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 64.9% | 24.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.3% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 4.6% |
| Seton Dill | 2.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 8.9% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 6.6% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 9.9% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.