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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+0.53vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.05+4.11vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.56+2.04vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.64+1.02vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.19-0.82vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.56vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-2.16vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.44-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Penn State University0.960.6%1st Place
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6.11Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.04Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.44Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.83American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 64.2% | 23.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 22.7% | 10.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 8.2% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 6.7% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Seton Dill | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 10.5% |
| Elise Singletary | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.