Race 11A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Barrett Lhamon 64.8% 22.6% 9.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 3.6% 8.0% 13.7% 15.3% 15.6% 13.0% 12.9% 11.6% 6.3%
Benedict Gorman 4.8% 10.6% 11.1% 14.1% 12.6% 14.4% 14.8% 12.6% 5.0%
Nathaniel Adams 7.3% 14.9% 18.4% 16.9% 14.2% 10.8% 9.0% 6.4% 2.1%
Malik Deslauriers 7.1% 16.8% 14.9% 14.6% 13.1% 11.3% 10.1% 7.8% 4.3%
Brian Polak 1.0% 2.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 9.9% 16.0% 51.5%
Anna Servidio 3.5% 8.1% 9.9% 11.9% 12.5% 16.1% 14.9% 14.7% 8.4%
Marlon Wool 3.3% 6.5% 7.9% 8.6% 11.9% 13.4% 13.8% 18.6% 16.0%
Johnny Leadingham 4.6% 10.1% 10.9% 12.2% 13.8% 15.1% 14.6% 12.3% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.