Race 12A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Barrett Lhamon 65.0% 23.5% 7.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benedict Gorman 3.3% 8.2% 12.2% 14.6% 12.6% 14.6% 16.2% 12.8% 5.5%
Hannah Arey 4.7% 10.6% 13.1% 15.2% 13.7% 13.5% 13.1% 10.0% 6.1%
Anna Servidio 4.0% 8.5% 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 15.2% 13.6% 14.2% 8.2%
Johnny Leadingham 4.8% 11.7% 12.9% 13.3% 12.4% 11.1% 13.8% 12.9% 7.1%
Nathaniel Adams 7.4% 14.2% 16.9% 15.8% 16.4% 12.6% 8.3% 6.1% 2.3%
Brian Polak 1.1% 3.1% 3.3% 2.1% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 15.7% 52.7%
Malik Deslauriers 6.5% 13.7% 14.6% 15.2% 15.0% 12.4% 10.2% 8.5% 3.9%
Marlon Wool 3.2% 6.5% 8.0% 9.0% 10.7% 13.1% 15.5% 19.8% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.