← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University-1.47+3.31vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.15+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-1.43+1.27vs Predicted
-
4American University-1.50+0.35vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-2.01+0.30vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-2.68+0.67vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-1.95-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-2.14-2.35vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-2.74-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
-
2.3Princeton University-0.150.4%1st Place
-
4.27Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.35American University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
5.3Drexel University-2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.67Rutgers University-2.680.0%1st Place
-
5.34University of Delaware-1.950.1%1st Place
-
5.65Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.81University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Simpkins | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 38.5% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Averyt | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Evan Kohut | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 27.5% |
| Addie Perez | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.