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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.20+2.82vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.43+2.36vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.47+1.30vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-2.68+2.48vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15-2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.95-0.83vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.39vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-2.01-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.49-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.36Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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4.3Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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6.48Rutgers University-2.680.0%1st Place
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2.15Princeton University-0.150.4%1st Place
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5.17University of Delaware-1.950.1%1st Place
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5.61Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
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5.33Drexel University-2.010.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Delaware-3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 13.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Matt Averyt | 8.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Evan Kohut | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 19.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 43.5% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Addie Perez | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Amira Kleiman | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.