Race 19A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 12.2% 10.1% 12.4% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 10.7% 8.2% 5.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Haley Powell 5.8% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 9.3% 8.9% 8.3% 11.2% 10.5% 11.9% 8.1% 3.1%
Morgan Russom 7.5% 5.1% 6.7% 6.3% 8.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.7% 9.8% 13.8% 10.6% 4.5%
Lauren Cefali 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 6.5% 6.1% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 11.4% 13.2% 16.0% 8.1%
Stephanie Hudson 11.9% 13.6% 11.9% 11.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.8% 3.9% 0.5%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.8% 12.2% 10.0% 12.5% 9.8% 11.7% 8.2% 8.1% 6.8% 4.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.0% 6.7% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 9.7% 8.6% 8.4% 11.9% 10.6% 8.8% 4.4%
Chandler Salisbury 10.8% 11.5% 9.1% 8.4% 10.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.0% 10.2% 6.6% 4.4% 2.1%
Claire Dennis 12.6% 14.3% 12.9% 11.3% 10.6% 9.5% 7.9% 8.1% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Erica Lush 4.3% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 10.9% 12.4% 23.0% 12.1%
Hanna Vincent 11.2% 10.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 9.7% 9.9% 6.2% 5.6% 3.6% 1.0%
Ann Sager 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 2.2% 3.7% 7.0% 13.6% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.