← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-1.20+2.81vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University-1.47+2.45vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.15-0.81vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-2.01+1.25vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-1.43-0.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.95-0.78vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.39vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-2.68-1.46vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-3.49-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81American University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
4.45Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
-
2.19Princeton University-0.150.4%1st Place
-
5.25Drexel University-2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.15Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.22University of Delaware-1.950.1%1st Place
-
5.61Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.54Rutgers University-2.680.0%1st Place
-
7.78University of Delaware-3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 14.4% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 7.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 41.4% | 25.8% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Matt Averyt | 12.0% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Addie Perez | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 7.3% |
| Evan Kohut | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 24.4% | 21.0% |
| Amira Kleiman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.