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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.20+2.90vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.47+2.54vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.43+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.95+1.26vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15-2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.74+0.81vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-2.01-1.49vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.68-1.26vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.14-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.54Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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4.33Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Delaware-1.950.1%1st Place
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2.18Princeton University-0.150.4%1st Place
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6.81University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
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5.51Drexel University-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.74Rutgers University-2.680.0%1st Place
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5.74Catholic University of America-2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 13.0% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 7.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Matt Averyt | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Addie Perez | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 43.7% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 30.3% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Evan Kohut | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 31.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.