Race 1A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 24.8% 21.7% 15.2% 12.4% 12.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Matias Martin 11.7% 12.3% 14.4% 14.1% 12.6% 13.9% 11.6% 6.8% 1.9% 0.7%
William Bailey 16.9% 13.7% 15.0% 13.9% 14.5% 13.4% 7.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 11.1% 12.9% 13.7% 14.0% 14.9% 13.6% 11.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.6%
Grace Bray 3.6% 5.1% 5.2% 7.0% 6.4% 8.7% 16.0% 20.2% 18.1% 9.7%
Connor Macken 18.5% 15.9% 14.2% 17.6% 11.3% 12.1% 5.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Jake Weinstein 9.2% 11.9% 12.6% 12.7% 15.4% 15.4% 11.3% 8.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Tyler Winowiecki 0.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 4.5% 8.9% 14.5% 24.2% 37.4%
William Roberts 1.3% 1.4% 3.0% 2.3% 2.2% 5.6% 8.7% 13.9% 25.0% 36.6%
Patrick York 2.2% 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 6.7% 6.9% 14.8% 20.9% 23.5% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.