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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.90+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.14-1.04vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology1.99-0.86vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.92-2.72vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.64-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Eckerd College2.900.3%1st Place
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1.96University of South Florida3.140.4%1st Place
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3.14Florida Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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3.28Rollins College1.920.1%1st Place
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4.4Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie Mademann | 32.8% | 31.3% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| David Harrison | 41.8% | 29.9% | 19.3% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| Adam Harris | 12.7% | 16.4% | 27.2% | 31.6% | 12.1% |
| Tristan Jackson | 10.2% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 32.8% | 15.9% |
| Michael Todd | 2.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.