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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+10.27vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+10.37vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+6.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+8.38vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17+1.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+1.90vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.19-3.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.45+0.26vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.10vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.99-0.74vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.01-2.01vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.69-6.06vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.31-5.95vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.84-8.60vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.26-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.27Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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12.37University of Pennsylvania1.162.4%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University1.864.3%1st Place
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12.38George Washington University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.179.1%1st Place
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4.06Yale University2.4221.6%1st Place
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9.9Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
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5.59Stanford University2.1912.5%1st Place
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10.26Dartmouth College1.453.9%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.0%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University1.794.7%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida0.992.2%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University1.012.5%1st Place
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8.94Brown University1.694.7%1st Place
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10.05Roger Williams University1.313.6%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College1.846.2%1st Place
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10.4College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.6% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.