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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.05+0.27vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12-0.86vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin0.7027.8%1st Place
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2.92Northwestern University0.1621.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Michigan0.0515.2%1st Place
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3.14Marquette University-0.1219.1%1st Place
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3.14Purdue University-0.4916.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 27.8% | 25.6% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Grace Bray | 21.2% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 15.2% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 26.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 19.1% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 16.6% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.