Race 20A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Arntsen 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 9.5% 8.9% 11.8% 12.3% 9.5% 4.0%
Chandler Salisbury 8.7% 11.1% 9.6% 10.9% 7.6% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 8.1% 8.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 12.5% 8.7% 12.9% 10.9% 10.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.1% 8.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 11.1% 11.7% 12.4% 11.0% 9.6% 10.5% 8.8% 8.4% 6.7% 5.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Haley Powell 6.6% 8.6% 7.1% 8.9% 7.9% 8.3% 10.0% 8.5% 9.2% 10.8% 9.8% 4.3%
Claire Dennis 12.8% 12.3% 11.4% 10.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.5% 7.0% 7.2% 4.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Erica Lush 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 6.4% 5.9% 8.8% 7.8% 12.2% 22.4% 14.1%
Natalie Salk 14.1% 13.0% 11.1% 10.0% 10.4% 7.5% 10.4% 7.9% 7.5% 4.0% 3.3% 0.8%
Lauren Cefali 3.7% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 10.0% 10.8% 12.8% 16.4% 6.8%
Ann Sager 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 1.4% 3.0% 3.9% 8.0% 11.2% 62.4%
Stephanie Hudson 12.7% 12.2% 11.9% 9.6% 11.9% 8.8% 8.5% 9.3% 6.3% 5.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Morgan Russom 6.9% 5.5% 5.1% 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 12.2% 10.4% 12.3% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.