Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 26.4% 18.6% 16.9% 13.4% 11.0% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Macken 15.5% 18.1% 15.3% 14.7% 13.1% 10.6% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Jake Weinstein 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 13.1% 13.5% 17.0% 13.8% 7.1% 3.1% 0.5%
William Bailey 15.0% 17.1% 16.0% 15.5% 13.6% 10.7% 7.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Matias Martin 12.2% 12.8% 14.2% 13.6% 15.0% 13.7% 9.6% 5.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Grace Bray 4.5% 4.2% 4.7% 5.4% 6.8% 10.1% 16.3% 19.7% 19.6% 8.7%
Nathan Selian 10.3% 13.4% 13.8% 15.3% 15.4% 13.1% 10.1% 6.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Patrick York 2.8% 2.7% 4.8% 3.9% 4.9% 9.8% 13.3% 22.6% 20.4% 14.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 8.2% 14.1% 25.6% 38.6%
William Roberts 1.5% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 8.4% 15.0% 24.5% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.