Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 12.8% 12.7% 13.5% 14.4% 12.2% 14.4% 12.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8%
Adrian Winkelman 22.2% 21.9% 16.1% 15.3% 10.5% 6.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.1%
William Bailey 15.0% 15.9% 15.7% 13.9% 15.5% 11.8% 8.0% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Connor Macken 16.7% 16.3% 17.1% 14.6% 13.5% 10.9% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Matias Martin 12.8% 12.1% 13.6% 14.0% 14.7% 14.6% 9.7% 5.6% 2.3% 0.6%
Jake Weinstein 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 12.5% 14.5% 13.2% 13.6% 8.0% 2.6% 0.5%
William Roberts 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.6% 3.3% 4.6% 7.6% 15.7% 26.7% 35.4%
Grace Bray 3.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 7.8% 10.0% 14.9% 22.9% 17.9% 8.4%
Patrick York 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 9.0% 14.8% 19.6% 22.8% 14.9%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% 4.8% 7.7% 14.5% 23.9% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.