Race 4A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matias Martin 13.9% 12.0% 14.0% 13.0% 14.5% 11.8% 12.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Connor Macken 16.2% 17.8% 15.5% 13.2% 14.7% 10.5% 7.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 23.5% 19.3% 17.3% 14.6% 10.9% 8.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
William Bailey 15.3% 16.7% 16.6% 15.3% 13.3% 11.4% 6.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Jake Weinstein 11.3% 10.3% 12.4% 13.5% 15.0% 14.8% 12.4% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 4.7% 7.9% 13.4% 24.8% 38.4%
Patrick York 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 8.6% 15.4% 22.9% 20.9% 15.1%
Nathan Selian 11.3% 14.9% 13.1% 14.5% 12.6% 14.1% 9.4% 7.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Grace Bray 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 7.7% 11.0% 15.3% 21.0% 19.9% 8.2%
William Roberts 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 9.3% 14.7% 24.7% 36.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.