Race 5A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Hosek 10.8% 12.2% 12.8% 15.0% 13.9% 14.6% 12.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Matias Martin 9.7% 11.9% 13.5% 15.8% 15.1% 13.9% 10.7% 6.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 9.2% 12.0% 12.0% 13.4% 15.8% 17.3% 10.8% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 18.3% 19.9% 20.0% 15.3% 13.0% 7.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Laura Hamilton 36.7% 25.9% 16.4% 11.7% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.9% 8.1% 12.1% 25.9% 38.3%
Patrick York 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 5.4% 5.0% 8.3% 14.7% 22.5% 22.7% 14.2%
Grace Bray 2.7% 2.8% 5.8% 5.2% 8.9% 10.2% 16.5% 21.1% 17.3% 9.5%
Jake Weinstein 8.8% 10.2% 11.6% 13.4% 16.4% 15.5% 12.9% 8.0% 2.3% 0.9%
William Roberts 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 4.0% 5.3% 7.7% 15.4% 24.8% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.