Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jake Weinstein 8.3% 11.1% 12.3% 13.4% 14.2% 14.9% 13.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Matias Martin 10.9% 9.3% 13.7% 15.5% 16.0% 15.4% 9.6% 7.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.9% 7.9% 12.5% 25.6% 39.4%
Luke Hosek 9.4% 11.5% 14.0% 15.7% 16.5% 13.8% 10.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 18.8% 21.3% 18.5% 15.5% 11.6% 8.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 10.6% 11.8% 13.6% 13.4% 15.6% 15.1% 11.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Patrick York 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 4.9% 6.0% 9.5% 14.6% 23.0% 21.6% 13.7%
Laura Hamilton 35.5% 27.0% 16.4% 11.1% 5.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Bray 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 5.5% 7.7% 10.7% 17.8% 20.3% 18.2% 9.2%
William Roberts 0.8% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.3% 4.0% 9.6% 15.5% 23.8% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.