← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+1.42vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.36+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.00+0.37vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.37+0.49vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.23-0.26vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.14+1.29vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.12-0.04vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.73+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.82-0.57vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.38-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.42Brown University2.630.4%1st Place
-
4.55Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
3.37Northeastern University2.000.2%1st Place
-
4.49Connecticut College1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.74Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
-
6.96Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.25Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
-
8.43Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
4.52Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 36.5% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 18.9% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 8.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Patrick York | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 15.3% |
| Grace Bray | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 8.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 35.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 39.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.