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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Hamilton 36.5% 25.4% 16.4% 10.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 10.1% 10.2% 15.2% 14.3% 13.8% 15.0% 12.0% 6.2% 3.0% 0.2%
Adrian Winkelman 18.9% 19.5% 18.3% 16.1% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matias Martin 8.3% 13.7% 13.6% 15.2% 15.6% 14.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Jake Weinstein 9.5% 10.6% 10.7% 12.6% 17.2% 15.9% 12.9% 7.1% 2.9% 0.6%
Patrick York 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 6.1% 9.0% 13.8% 20.2% 21.9% 15.3%
Grace Bray 2.3% 2.8% 4.3% 6.5% 7.5% 10.5% 16.8% 21.0% 19.7% 8.6%
William Roberts 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 5.5% 9.6% 15.4% 23.6% 35.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.6% 6.9% 15.4% 24.0% 39.5%
Luke Hosek 8.6% 12.3% 13.7% 16.4% 14.8% 13.4% 11.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.