Race 8A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Hosek 10.1% 13.7% 12.2% 15.4% 13.9% 13.9% 12.4% 6.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Adrian Winkelman 18.5% 18.9% 20.8% 15.2% 12.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 9.2% 11.7% 11.9% 13.7% 16.7% 18.2% 10.3% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Matias Martin 9.7% 10.7% 14.7% 14.3% 17.0% 14.9% 10.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Laura Hamilton 36.1% 27.6% 15.5% 10.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Weinstein 9.8% 10.2% 12.1% 14.1% 14.4% 14.2% 12.7% 9.1% 2.7% 0.7%
Grace Bray 2.1% 2.7% 4.9% 5.9% 7.7% 11.8% 18.1% 19.6% 19.4% 7.8%
Patrick York 2.0% 2.6% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 8.8% 13.5% 20.4% 22.6% 15.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 3.1% 2.7% 4.3% 8.1% 13.4% 26.8% 37.8%
William Roberts 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 8.2% 16.9% 22.7% 36.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.