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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.88+3.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.17+1.58vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+2.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.29-0.65vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20+1.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.23-2.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.99vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.30+1.31vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.59-1.94vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.34-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University1.170.2%1st Place
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5.27Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.35Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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6.27Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.41Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.31Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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7.06Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.61Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 18.1% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 20.1% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 5.2% |
| William Hurd | 22.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Finora | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 3.6% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 73.2% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 9.3% |
| Cole Abbott | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.