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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.49+2.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70-0.49vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.05-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Purdue University-0.4917.8%1st Place
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2.97Northwestern University0.1620.3%1st Place
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2.51University of Wisconsin0.7027.9%1st Place
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3.18Marquette University-0.1217.4%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan0.0516.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 17.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| Grace Bray | 20.3% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 27.9% | 25.9% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 8.2% |
| Jenna Kozal | 17.4% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 25.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.