Race 21A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 11.4% 10.4% 11.4% 9.6% 8.3% 6.2% 5.3% 3.1% 0.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.1% 13.7% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 12.7% 10.6% 10.8% 10.7% 9.5% 9.9% 9.9% 9.1% 8.3% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Haley Powell 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 9.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 8.7% 3.7%
Chandler Salisbury 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.7% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 8.2% 7.4% 5.7% 1.3%
Lauren Cefali 4.2% 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 5.2% 6.7% 7.6% 9.8% 10.4% 13.7% 17.9% 8.0%
Morgan Russom 6.6% 8.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.7% 7.8% 10.4% 12.2% 10.4% 9.6% 4.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 8.5% 6.6% 5.6% 8.8% 9.3% 7.0% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 11.6% 10.2% 3.2%
Claire Dennis 12.5% 12.6% 13.5% 11.8% 11.2% 9.8% 7.9% 8.4% 6.2% 3.7% 2.3% 0.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.4% 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 10.5% 10.7% 10.1% 6.0% 6.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.6%
Ann Sager 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 6.9% 11.2% 64.8%
Erica Lush 3.7% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.4% 7.9% 10.5% 13.5% 23.9% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.