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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+2.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+1.30vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+2.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.23-0.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88-1.02vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20+0.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.59-0.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.34-1.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.86vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.30-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.3Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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5.17Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.35Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.98Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.39Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.27Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 21.6% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 20.8% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| William Hurd | 19.3% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 4.6% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 8.3% |
| Cole Abbott | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 4.5% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 27.5% | 9.7% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.