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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+2.29vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.34+4.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+2.19vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.30+5.31vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88-1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+1.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.23-3.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-4.72vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-2.84vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.59-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.19Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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9.31Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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4.0Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.37Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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3.28Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.94Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 22.2% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 4.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 72.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 14.3% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 26.0% | 10.5% |
| William Hurd | 18.4% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 21.3% | 19.0% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 2.4% |
| Berkley Yiu | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.