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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.96+2.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+1.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.29+0.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+1.18vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20+1.26vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.34+0.52vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.59+0.10vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.30+1.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-3.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.88-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Connecticut College0.960.2%1st Place
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3.33Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.36Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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5.18Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.52Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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7.1Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.33Northwestern University-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fritz Baldauf | 16.5% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 21.7% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 21.7% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 4.7% |
| Cole Abbott | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 5.8% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 25.9% | 9.7% |
| Marguerite Eno | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 75.1% |
| Robert Finora | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.