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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.89+3.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.97vs Predicted
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6American University-0.85+1.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.49-1.53vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.07-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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7.15American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 5.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 35.8% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 16.5% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Max Kleha | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Margo Cicero | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 15.4% | 65.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 25.7% | 15.7% |
| Milo Miller | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.