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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.56+1.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.89+0.74vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.49+0.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.65vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.07-2.61vs Predicted
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8American University-0.85-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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4.74George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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5.41Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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4.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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4.39Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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7.15American University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 37.7% | 24.4% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 15.3% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 7.6% |
| Emma Friedauer | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 26.2% | 12.9% |
| Max Kleha | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 3.4% |
| Milo Miller | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 4.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.