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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.49+4.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.07+0.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.89-0.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.29-2.03vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.58vs Predicted
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8American University-0.85-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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4.7George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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7.16American University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 23.5% | 12.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 35.4% | 27.3% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 16.6% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Milo Miller | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 5.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 6.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Max Kleha | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.