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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.07+3.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.56-0.43vs Predicted
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5American University-0.85+2.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.89-1.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.49-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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2.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.57U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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7.19American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.71George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 9.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 35.1% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 16.4% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 67.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 6.7% |
| Max Kleha | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 4.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 24.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.