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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.56+2.19vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.07+1.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.75+0.33vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.49-2.15vs Predicted
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8American University-3.13-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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3.99Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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6.33George Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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7.85American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dominguez | 18.7% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Kleha | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Margo Cicero | 13.0% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 39.2% | 26.0% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 17.6% | 58.5% | 7.3% |
| Emma Friedauer | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 28.2% | 17.7% | 1.2% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.