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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+4.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+3.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+1.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+0.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81-0.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86-2.38vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-4.45vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-2.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Haley Powell | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Erica Lush | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 12.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 8.4% |
| Ann Sager | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.