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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+1.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.31vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.49-0.15vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.07-2.07vs Predicted
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7George Washington University-0.75-0.66vs Predicted
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8American University-3.13-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Naval Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.93Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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6.34George Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.83American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 40.8% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 17.5% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 12.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Friedauer | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 29.8% | 14.8% | 0.9% |
| Milo Miller | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 61.2% | 8.4% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.