← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Chicago-1.18+1.13vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-1.60+0.56vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-2.38+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-2.29-0.55vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.54-1.15vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13University of Chicago-1.180.4%1st Place
-
2.56Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
-
3.54Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.45Purdue University-2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.85Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.47University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Higgins | 37.0% | 31.3% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Eva Paschke | 28.3% | 24.4% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Mathis Destouches | 11.7% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 23.8% | 7.1% |
| Silas Hokanson | 13.1% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 23.3% | 5.6% |
| John Riordan | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 28.8% | 11.5% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.