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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+1.48vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.05+0.31vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12-0.87vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin0.7030.9%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University0.1620.5%1st Place
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3.31University of Michigan0.0515.4%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University-0.1216.9%1st Place
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3.14Purdue University-0.4916.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 30.9% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 9.1% |
| Grace Bray | 20.5% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 15.4% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 28.3% |
| Jenna Kozal | 16.9% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Nok In Chan | 16.2% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.