Race 23A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 12.0% 11.1% 9.9% 12.7% 10.0% 11.8% 8.2% 8.8% 6.7% 5.0% 3.4% 0.4%
Stephanie Hudson 12.1% 15.0% 10.8% 10.4% 11.0% 9.4% 9.2% 8.0% 5.7% 5.2% 2.9% 0.3%
Haley Powell 8.2% 6.4% 8.1% 6.9% 8.2% 9.0% 8.5% 10.5% 12.6% 10.9% 7.7% 3.0%
Emily Dellenbaugh 10.5% 11.9% 13.0% 10.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 6.9% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9%
Morgan Russom 5.7% 7.4% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 9.1% 8.9% 11.0% 11.6% 10.7% 4.7%
Chandler Salisbury 10.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.8% 10.6% 9.9% 9.6% 8.9% 7.3% 5.3% 1.0%
Claire Dennis 13.0% 13.4% 12.4% 10.4% 10.3% 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2%
Lauren Cefali 6.0% 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 11.0% 13.9% 15.8% 7.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.0% 6.4% 8.4% 8.0% 9.4% 9.2% 10.3% 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 9.8% 2.5%
Hanna Vincent 11.5% 11.2% 12.4% 10.4% 9.9% 10.6% 9.9% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Erica Lush 3.4% 2.2% 3.7% 5.7% 4.9% 4.1% 6.2% 8.5% 9.6% 15.3% 21.3% 15.1%
Ann Sager 0.7% 1.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 1.8% 3.3% 6.3% 15.1% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.