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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-1.68+1.59vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.60+0.43vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.54+0.65vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.38-0.55vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.29-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Chicago-1.680.3%1st Place
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2.43Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
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3.65Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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3.45Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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3.45Purdue University-2.290.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 27.2% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Eva Paschke | 32.8% | 25.3% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| John Riordan | 11.6% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 26.1% | 8.8% |
| Mathis Destouches | 13.5% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 23.8% | 5.8% |
| Silas Hokanson | 13.0% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 8.6% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.