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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-1.60+1.50vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-2.54+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.68-0.45vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.38-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-4.12+0.44vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.29-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Chicago-1.680.3%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
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3.38Purdue University-2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Paschke | 30.3% | 25.5% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| John Riordan | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 28.0% | 9.6% |
| Natalie Manley | 27.8% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Mathis Destouches | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 24.4% | 23.6% | 5.9% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 74.6% |
| Silas Hokanson | 14.8% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 22.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.