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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-1.18+1.14vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.60+0.58vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.54+0.76vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.38-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-4.12+0.49vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.29-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Chicago-1.180.4%1st Place
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2.58Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
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3.76Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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3.57Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
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3.47Purdue University-2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Higgins | 37.1% | 30.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 28.3% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| John Riordan | 10.0% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 29.6% | 9.4% |
| Mathis Destouches | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 25.4% | 6.1% |
| Andoni Christou | 0.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 75.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 12.9% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 22.8% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.