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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.38+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.68+0.52vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.54+0.67vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.29-0.68vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.60-2.43vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Chicago-1.680.3%1st Place
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3.67Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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3.32Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
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2.57Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathis Destouches | 12.7% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 8.5% |
| Natalie Manley | 29.1% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| John Riordan | 12.0% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 26.3% | 9.3% |
| Silas Hokanson | 15.3% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 21.2% | 5.1% |
| Eva Paschke | 29.0% | 25.0% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.