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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-1.68+1.62vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-2.38+1.43vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.60-0.58vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.54-0.35vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.29-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Chicago-1.680.3%1st Place
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3.43Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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2.42Marquette University-1.600.3%1st Place
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3.65Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University-2.290.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 26.2% | 26.7% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 14.1% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 22.3% | 7.0% |
| Eva Paschke | 31.5% | 25.0% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| John Riordan | 12.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 29.0% | 8.3% |
| Silas Hokanson | 13.5% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 21.0% | 9.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.