← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.79+1.93vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+7.30vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.47+2.47vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.38-1.12vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.49vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.32-0.12vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.08+2.71vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.59+0.13vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.12vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University0.17-0.57vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-2.04vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.66-4.14vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.27vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands0.42-5.19vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
-
9.3University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.88University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
10.71Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
9.13Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
10.43San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
13.73University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.81California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.01University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 30.0% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.1% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Max Case | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Ring | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Will Cornell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 42.2% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.